Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 3.169887 3.491955 3.840441 4.246824 4.709330 5.221219 5.833226
2025-10-12 2.742213 3.182671 3.692264 4.330414 5.115178 6.057889 7.290029
2025-10-19 2.474310 2.979798 3.593387 4.403140 5.458997 6.810943 8.709481
2025-10-26 2.278261 2.824879 3.514277 4.463717 5.763442 7.520484 10.147829
2025-11-02 2.114228 2.685608 3.429651 4.492148 6.009146 8.160547 11.565626
2025-11-09 1.925862 2.493197 3.250880 4.364720 6.010393 8.438677 12.471099
2025-11-16 1.788615 2.355935 3.131370 4.302426 6.089208 8.827405 13.592074
2025-11-23 1.682909 2.252490 3.047993 4.280180 6.218729 9.300162 14.914648
2025-11-30 1.632294 2.221727 3.063881 4.404005 6.583188 10.188608 17.104201
2025-12-07 1.546242 2.132858 2.986338 4.374366 6.693127 10.658734 18.602229
2025-12-14 1.462628 2.041650 2.897882 4.318013 6.749453 11.036952 19.982058
2025-12-21 1.358123 1.912793 2.743131 4.141025 6.579903 10.983619 20.469796
2025-12-28 1.309702 1.867656 2.717316 4.178063 6.795582 11.685152 22.720176
2026-01-04 1.273222 1.838599 2.714657 4.253521 7.088367 12.576151 25.594363
2026-01-11 1.238496 1.809855 2.709924 4.323889 7.377840 13.500476 28.768474
2026-01-18 1.204164 1.779434 2.699876 4.383003 7.650775 14.429014 32.190180
2026-01-25 1.166506 1.741314 2.674130 4.410774 7.863661 15.258199 35.573434
2026-02-01 1.104483 1.660081 2.570450 4.286255 7.754182 15.348053 36.922253
2026-02-08 1.057971 1.602206 2.503468 4.225375 7.769921 15.728314 39.219794
2026-02-15 1.021163 1.558723 2.458903 4.203633 7.865772 16.312346 42.307961
2026-02-22 1.009463 1.556882 2.487097 4.324645 8.283165 17.751239 48.616329
2026-03-01 0.975315 1.514979 2.441351 4.295681 8.363909 18.348871 52.284284
2026-03-08 0.939388 1.468406 2.384696 4.240609 8.379519 18.778332 55.502063